Fantasy Fact Smack: The Beginning of The Legend, and Percy Harvin’s Value With Gang Green

Welcome back to another week of the fantasy fact smack. Thursday night was a rousing success, with Shane Vereen pulling in his first career multi-TD game, and although Gang Green’s upstart TE Jace Amaro didn’t find pay dirt, he was targeted five times, twice in the red-zone. Hey, can’t get ’em all right.

Enjoy the second installment of the Fantasy fact smack, and comment with any fantasy questions!

1. One Touchdown

In a shocking trade with the New York Jets, the Seattle Seahawks sent over WR Percy Harvin for a conditional pick in next May’s NFL draft. Harvin’s value in fantasy also fluctuates. The facts below make his increase in value obvious.

– 62 receptions. The Jets haven’t had very many receptions this season by wide receivers, and could use a shot in the arm in the passing game. Geno Smith looked great on Thursday night against the Patriots, and if he can’t get it done with Decker, Percy, and new TE Amaro, maybe it’s time to move on.

Expect the UF alum to put up some points for Gang Green, and your fantasy team.

Expect the UF alum to put up some points for Gang Green, and your fantasy team.

– 5th worst pass defense. Of Harvin’s next four games, two of them are against the Buffalo Bills, who fail to hold anyone in the passing game under wraps. If you need a little nudge in making an offer for Harvin, it might be wise to do it before he explodes onto the scene in New York.

– 105 passing attempts. The Seahawks come in at 32nd in pass attempts this season, while the Jets place much higher, 3rd to be exact. With over 100 more pass attempts than Seattle, the ball will almost certainly be coming Harvin’s way early and often in NYJ.

Overall, I love this move for owners of Harvin. The Jets can have a formidable offense when Geno isn’t dragging them backwards. Rex Ryan is way too smart to not use Harvin, and use him frequently. Or, at least enough to score more than one touchdown. 

2. Bengals defense – 61 fantasy points allowed over the last two games to opposing QB’s

With some legends, it doesn’t quite seem as if there was a beginning, and with luckier ones, sometimes there isn’t an ending.

It’s rare that we can sit back and say, that game, that season, it was the beginning of their run towards the hall of fame. Luckily, this season, it appears that we couldn’t be sitting in a better spot to watch one of the games young leaders take off and never look back. Andrew Luck is lighting it up this season, and with a continued lack of any real running game, he’s primed for another big stat line, this time the victim will be the Cincinnati Bengals.

The numbers are all in the Indy gunslingers favor. Luck has compiled five games over 300 yards, and he’s bringing in 19 total TD’s and only 7 INT’s. The Bengals have been gashed by the last two QB’s they faced, allowing Tom Brady and Cam Newton to go off for a total of 61 fantasy points. Those two QB’s only average 34 combined points a week, and that’s including their breakout contests against the porous Cincy secondary.

Luck is about to go crazy. Enjoy the ride, and remember, this six game (so far) run he’s on is the beginning.

Bonus Call: The Colts themselves are allowing the most yards per reception to opposing TE’s, and it doesn’t look like AJ Green is getting the call this week, which opens the door for another good Jermaine Gresham showing (6 receptions for 68 yards last week).

2. Rapid Fire: Running backs

That right there folks, is one of the few reliable backs in the NFL. Who could've seen this coming?

That right there folks, is one of the few reliable backs in the NFL. Who could’ve seen this coming?

Ben Tate: The Browns are loving the running game, and Tate has been reliable when he’s been in the lineup. Plus, you know, the whole playing Jacksonville thing. Allowing the fourth most points to opposing running backs, Tate will snag another 20+ carries (averaging 23 carries per game since returning from injuries).

Justin Forsett: The real deal in Baltimore right now, Forsett is crushing the competition with a YPC of 6.4, a full yard ahead of anyone else. A home match-up with the stumbling Falcons is exactly what the doctor ordered, having given up the third most rushing yards in the NFL.

Andre Ellington: Finally getting all the red-zone carries (the last two weeks), and the Cardinals will share a field with the Oakland Raiders this week, who just gave up 101 yards and a score to Brandon Oliver, who isn’t exactly the second coming of Jim Brown.

Frank Gore: Only one rushing TD this season for the gold and crimson ball carrier, and he’s coming off a less than stellar performance on prime-time against the Rams (16 carries for 38 yards). Coupled with a big game against the Broncos on Sunday night, and I don’t see much coming from Gore this week.

Good luck this week and check back in on Thursday afternoon for a fact smack covering the NFL’s early contest!

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