Fantasy Football: Quarterback Stock Watch, Three Up and Three Down

Every year in the NFL some new players rise to the top of the fantasy scoreboards, and some others fall to the way side. Rarely do players perform exactly as owners expected, but that goes both ways. Below, you will find three QB’s who will see an uptick in their fantasy production, and three QB’s who might have a tough time matching last season’s statistics.

As far as the quarterback position as a whole, I believe if you can get one of the top four gun slingers, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, and Matthew Stafford, than you pull the trigger at all costs. If you have a selection towards the end of the first round, it might be worth shoring up some other positions before taking someone from the second tier, because there a few guys I like a lot, than can be found in the 8th or 9th round [Hint: Brandon Marshall’s reunion in the Windy City].

 STOCK UP ! 

Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles

Vick posted some respectable numbers in 2011, putting up 3,303 yards, and 18 scores in only 13 games. However, he was also plagued with 14 interceptions, and “only” 589 yards rushing. I think Philly will wise up and ask Vick to do a little less this season, and I actually think it helps him. I’m predicting the unthinkable. A full 16 game slate for Mr. Vick.

Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

Dalton had a phenomenal rookie season but was slightly overshadowed by fellow rookie Cam Newton. Dalton has a full offseason to perfect the craft, and wideout AJ Green is going to vault into super stardom a lot sooner than people may think. If Dalton breaks out, and improves on last seasons slash line [3398-20-13], he could be drafted as a starter next year. Definitely someone to keep an eye on.

Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears

Cutler only played in 10 contests last season due to a broken thumb, but even so, he was only on pace for 3,710 yards, 21 TD’s, and 12 interceptions. Cutler is back together with Brandon Marshall, and with Matt Forte’s frustrations over his contract, Cutler will be asked to do plenty in training camp, should Forte hold out. Every year I select a quarterback that I wouldn’t mind waiting for, assuming there is a rush that I miss out on. Cutler is that guy this season.

 STOCK DOWN 

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

This is hardly meant as a knock to Matt Stafford, but it would be near impossible for the baby faced gun slinger to match his incredibly high output from 2011. Stafford topped the 5,000 yard mark, and through an insane 41 scores. Stafford should still be taken in the top three or four for QB’s, but don’t expect the Lions to throw the rock 650 times like last year.

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers

Rivers lost his go to receiver in Vincent Jackson during free agency, and third year back Ryan Matthews is expected to have much bigger role in the offense, thanks to Mike Tolbert being shipped off to Carolina. Rivers has seen a big increase in his interceptions over the last three seasons, going from 9, to 13, and coming to a head with 20 last year. While his touchdowns have remained consistent, the interceptions are troubling.

Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins

I had to find some way to vent about RG3, and this is the best chance I’ll have, so bear with me. There is plenty of hype surrounding Griffin, but I caution you highly to stay far away. Don’t expect Griffin to come close to Cam Newton’s numbers, which is what I’m afraid too many owners will be expecting. I promise you, there will be someone in my drafts that likes Robert Griffin more than I do. I’ll let them bite the bullet.

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